Wind energy installed capacity in Europe in 2030 will increase almost two and a half times (or 148%) compared to 2014 levels to reach over 320 GW, comprising 254 GW of onshore wind and 66 GW of offshore wind, according to the Central Scenario in the Wind Energy Scenarios for 2030 report published by the European Wind Energy Association (EWEA) in August 2015.

With this level of installed capacity, onshore wind energy will generate 533 TWh in 2030, covering 16.7% of EU electricity demand and offshore wind will produce 245 TWh, covering 7.7%, resulting in total wind energy production of 778 TWh of electricity, covering 24.4% of EU electricity demand.

Under this scenario, there is a clear 2030 governance structure with reporting mechanisms on Member States’ progress towards meeting 2030 targets. Furthermore, effective regional cooperation mechanisms are established, allowing the EU to meet its 27% renewable energy target.

Other conditions include a better-functioning power market that allows for higher penetration of wind and other renewable energies and strengthened power interconnection infrastructures.

EWEA’s Low Scenario foresees 251 GW of wind energy installations in 2030, 22% lower than in the Central Scenario, sufficient to meet 19% of EU electricity demand. This level of installations would mean 307,000 jobs in the wind energy sector, EUR 367 billion worth of investment, 339 Mt of CO₂ emissions avoided and 76,000 wind turbines installed and connected to the grid in 2030.

The High Scenario expects 392 GW installed in 2030, 23% higher than in the Central Scenario, sufficient to meet 31% of EU electricity demand. Under this scenario, 366,000 jobs will be generated, as well as EUR 591 billion of investments, 554 Mt of CO₂ emissions will be avoided and 114,000 wind turbines generating electricity in the EU will be installed.

For more information:
http://www.ewea.org/fileadmin/files/library/publications/reports/EWEA-Wind-energy-scenarios-2030.pdf